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Interesting Portfolio Analysis-Personal
This is my current portfolio and I wil be making comments later as I am pressed for time. INTC INTEL CORP 33.4% WFC WELLS FARGO 18.7% ARMH ARM HOLDINGS 13.6% BAC BANK OF...
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Interesting Pitfalls (Psychological Traps) of Investors
(1) Overconfidence (2) Anchoring and Adjusting (3) Improper Framing (4) Irrational Escalation of a Commitment (5) Confirmation Trap
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Investing in Blockbuster Medicine
When I think about Blockbusters, I think about three attributes: One, is the patient pool large? Two, is the underlying disease that it treats serious? and Three, is the medication safe and effective?
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Mental Models-Complex Adaptive Systems
Complex Adaptive Systems have a feature that is difficult to grasp: the magnitude of an outcome is not necessarily proportionate to the size of the peturbation. Sometimes small perturbations lead to...
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Some Psychological Investment Traps
(1) Overconfidence-Researchers have found that people consistently overrate their abilities, knowledge and skill. (2) Anchoring and Adjusting (3) Improper Framing (4) Irrational Escalation of a...
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Guidelines of a Biotech Investment
(1) More drugs in trial mean a likelihood of profits. (2) Shorter time lines to FDA approval mean lower risk of failure. (3) More alliances reduce investor risk by validating the technology in...
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Tinbergen’s Four Questions
(1) Why do stocks respond to environmental stimuli in a particular way? (2) Why do stocks respond to internal movements in their company and financials in a particular way? (3) Why do some stocks...
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Characteristics of Experts
I was going through my notebooks and ran across this article “Are You an Expert?” by Michael Mauboussin and thought you might find this interesting. Characteristics of Experts (1) Experts excel in...
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